The Race to Dubai culminates this week in Dubai at the stunning Jumeirah Golf Estates. It’s the DP World Tour Championship, and boy, do we have a field packed full of world-class golfers.
Not only do we have European stalwarts like Rory McIlroy, Sergio Garcia, and defending champ Jon Rahm on deck, but some well-known Americans made the trip to the United Arab Emirates as well.
Xander Schauffele won the WGC-HSBC Champions in Shanghai his last time out and climbed all the way up to #12 in the Official World Golf Rankings (OWGR). 17th-ranked Patrick Reed will be trying to earn one last fat paycheck in 2018, but both guys are staring up at two men with even more on the line.
World #6 Francesco Molinari will be desperately trying to fend off his best mate in Tommy Fleetwood as the two men battle for the crown of Race to Dubai champion. Molinari is in the driver’s seat and will likely be the winner unless Fleetwood wins this week and “Franky” finishes outside the top 5.
So am I running to BetOnline.ag to place some bets on who I think will hoist the trophy on Sunday?
Because I found a much better and more realistic way of making some money. The top sports betting sites all have an array of head-to-head matchups, and after scoping them all out, I’ve found some prices that have me intrigued.
Have a look below and feel free to jump on board any wagers you see fit!
The odds referenced in this post were taken from BetOnline.ag and Bovada.lv EST on 11/13.
Joost Luiten vs. Dylan Frittelli
I don’t want to try and pretend I’m a sorcerer who knows how to predict the future with certainty. My best service to you would be to simply identify value when it is sitting in plain view, so that’s what I’m going to do.
Joost Luiten and Dylan Frittelli are both talented golfers, both of whom are listed at Bovada sportsbook at +1000 to win this golf tournament. Luiten is coming off a severe wrist injury that forced him to miss a chunk of the 2018 season but has actually looked solid during his return.
Since returning to action at Valderrama on October 18th, Joost has strung together respectable finishes (11th-23rd-27th) and will look to end the year on a high note.
On the other hand, Dylan Frittelli has been bouncing around continents over the month and now finds himself at a golf course he enjoys.
Dylan finished T-4 along with the likes of Sergio Garcia and Justin Rose last year at the DP World Tour Championship by shooting 17 under par.
Joost finished 44th after failing to break 70 all week long.
I’m not saying the 32-year-old Dutchman won’t continue his surge back into good form at the Earth Course at the Jumeirah Golf Estates, but I will say this confidently.
He has no business being a -145 favorite.
I’d be fine backing Frittelli at even money here, and certainly at +105 or +110. So letting the +125 number attached to the former Texas Longhorn standout slide by just isn’t really an option for me!
Henrik Stenson vs. Patrick Reed
I’m not going to sit here and knock Henrik Stenson as a golfer. Henrik hits it as pure and as solid as anybody out there, and he is no stranger to success on the big stage.
But Henrik hasn’t played competitively since the BMW Championship in early September when he finished 29th and bowed out of the FedEx Cup Playoffs.
If you are looking for the last time the Swedish machine logged a top-10 finish on any tour, you have to go all the way back to the U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills in early June.
Flip the coin and look at Patrick Reed, and his last top-10 was just a couple weeks ago at Sheshan Golf Club where he finished T-7th at the WGC-HSBC Champions. I still think Reed is playing with a bit of a chip on his shoulder after all the drama that ensued after the Ryder Cup.
The 2018 Masters champ sits currently 4th in the Race to Dubai standings and is in line to make a lot of extra cash if he can play well this week.
So there’s extra dough up for grabs, and there are haters questioning his skill level. This sounds like it’s right up Reed’s alley to me!
Considering Reed has plenty of motivation and a whole bunch to play for, and Stenson will be easing his way back into tournament action, I feel like betting on Patrick here is the logical play. Reed shot 15 under and finished 10th in this event in 2017 while Stenson sat on the sidelines.
It seems like Reed should be a significant favorite, so the fact that they are both -115 at Bovada has me fascinated about the prospects.
Tyrrell Hatton vs. Xander Schauffele
If this assessment doesn’t prove that I am not biased in my picks, I’m not really sure what will.
As a former San Diego State golfer, I always root for my fellow Aztecs.
The fact that Xander Schauffele recently won the WGC-HSBC Champions and is now recognized as a top-15 golfer in the world has me excited and amped up – there is no doubt about it.
But that doesn’t mean I can just start betting on him blindly without properly diagnosing each specific situation.
Take this week, for example.
After winning the World Golf Championship event in China and cashing a fat check for $1.7 million, I can assure you that Xander took some time off not touching his golf clubs.
Now, he’s too gifted of a player to suddenly lose his touch in just a few weeks’ time, but it’d be ignorant to think he automatically just picks up exactly where he left off.
Dubai is a long way from Southern California, and Xander has never played the Earth Course at the Jumeirah Golf Estates. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Schauffele be ever-so-slightly off his game and turn in an average performance this week.
After passing Jordan Spieth and Tiger Woods on the OWGR, I’m going to cut him some slack. It’s safe to say the humble 25-year-old has earned some time to rest on his laurels – at least through the holiday season.
But Tyrrell Hatton, not a chance.
This guy wouldn’t know what “resting on his laurels” even means, as feisty and as fired up as he gets on the links. And while I would say most people don’t thrive when being so hard on themselves, Hatton seems to be a different kind of animal.
Tyrrell may act a bit out of line at times, and he’s sure to toss some clubs and throw out the occasional “F-bombs.”
But the dude relishes playing in big-time tournaments and just knows how to get the ball in the hole.
The last time the 27-year-old Englishman teed it up in a professional event and didn’t crack the top 30 was way back in July at the Open Championship. After triumphing in Paris at the 2018 Ryder Cup, all Hatton has done is pick up right where he had left off.
Tyrrell finished runner-up at the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship and followed it with a 14th and a 22nd at the CJ Cup and WGS-HSBC Champions respectively.
I like the fact that he finished 16 under par and in a tie for 8th place at the 2017 DP World Tour Championship, so I have no qualms as to whether or not he fancies the Earth Course.
Bottom line, I’d pay -110, even -115 for Hatton here. Given that he’s +100 on BetOnline, it’s time to fire away!
Chris Wood vs. Adrian Otaegui
You’ll have to be a pretty avid fan of the European Tour to be familiar with these two names, but that shouldn’t be what shies you away from the betting arena.
Chris Wood is a 30-year-old Englishman who won three European Tour events between 2013-2016. Chris has used a trio of second-place finishes in 2018 to land at the 29th position in the Race to Dubai standings heading into the week, although his recent play suggests he isn’t exactly on form.
After playing well through September, Wood played twice in October. He finished 73rd at the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship before shooting 77 and withdrawing from the Sky Sports British Masters. He actually flew to Shanghai to play in the World Golf Championship event but had to withdraw before it even started.
According to Chris Wood’s Twitter account, he couldn’t even move his neck. And he hasn’t played competitively since.
— Chris Wood (@Chris3Wood) October 25, 2018
But Adrian Otaegui, the 25-year-old Spanish golfer who will celebrate his 26th birthday next week?
He’s playing tremendously right now and should have no issues posting another solid finish in Dubai. This will be Adrian’s third straight week playing on the European Tour, and he’ll arrive riding plenty of positive momentum.
After placing 3rd at the Turkish Airlines Open two weeks ago, Otaegui recorded at a 16th-place showing at the Nedbank Golf Challenge. Otaegui has quietly surged up to number 76 in the latest OWGR, and I only see that number rising in the near future.
He’s got the good vibes flowing and knows he is playing well, while Chris Wood is on the other end of the spectrum.
I’m not going to overthink this one; I’m just going to try and ride the hot hand.
If you are used to solely betting PGA Tour events, don’t worry about having to do any research or shop your lines.
I did all of that for you and tied it up neatly with four matchup picks for the season-ending DP World Tour Championship in Dubai.
Will Francesco Molinari cap off his amazing run in 2018 with the title of Race to Dubai champion?
You’ll have to tune into the Golf Channel and catch the action this weekend to find out.
Placing the wagers I mentioned above is only going to spice things up!
The post European Tour Betting Picks – Targeting Matchups at the DP World Tour Championship appeared first on GamblingSites.com.
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